The St. Louis Cardinals' starter holds a SIERA advantage of 4.31 over the Milwaukee Brewers' starter. Recent form analysis over the last three starts also favors the Cardinals' pitcher.
The model projects the Cardinals to score 4.84 runs and the Brewers to score 5.35 runs. Despite this run differential, the St. Louis Cardinals moneyline at +1040 carries a 40.2% projected edge. Pinnacle, a sharp market indicator, prices the Cardinals more favorably than other books, suggesting value on the underdog.